Tichitarisira kuna 2024, isu tinotenda kuti kudiwa kweindasitiri kunotarisirwa kuenderera mberi nekumhanya kuri pakati nepakati kudzoreredza, huwandu hwepamusoro hwekuburitswa kwehuwandu hwese hwave kusvika kumagumo, mutengo wehuni pulp, marara mapepa, mitengo yemarasha inonyanya kushanduka. , uye purofiti yeindasitiri inotarisirwa kugadzirisa zvishoma nezvishoma.
Indasitiri yemapepa inozivikanwa se "barometer yekushandiswa", nekutanga kudzoreredza kwenzvimbo yekudya uye kuyerera kwevanhu, budiriro yemapepa etsika yakadzoserwa zvakanyanya, iyo inotungamira vhoriyamu, mutengo uye purofiti zvakasimudzwa zvakanyanya. kudiwa kwepepa rekuputira uye bepa rakakosha zvakare kunotevera zvinhu zvemuviri zvine mwero kugadzirisa mune yakaderera manhamba, 2023 mitengo yechigadzirwa uye purofiti zvakare yakavandudzwa zvakanyanya.Tichitarisira 2024, zvinotarisirwa kuti social zero ienderere mberi nemaitiro ekudzoreredza zvine mwero, kudiwa kwebepa retsika kucharamba kuchiwedzera, uye kudiwa kwekupeta bepa (bhokisi bhodhi bepa, chena kadhi) uye pepa rakakosha richaramba richipora mukati. nhamba dzepakati-imwe.Isu tinongoda kumirira iyo yekugovera uye yekuda divi kuti idzokere kune yakaomesesa chiyero.
Parizvino, indasitiri yemapepa iri pakupera kwedenderedzwa idzva rekuwedzera kwepamusoro (inotungamirwa neboom peak ye2020-21, uye kunetseka kwemabhizinesi nezve kuoma kwekuwedzera mushure meiyo yakasimba "dual carbon" mutemo).Kuwedzeredzwa kwehunyanzvi kwakadzikwa muna 2022-23 (bhokisi bhodhi corrugated bepa rinotakurawo kumwe kuvhunduka kunosvika makumi mashanu muzana emapepa anotengeswa kunze kwenyika).Muna 2024, isu tinotarisira kuti kupihwa uye kudiwa kweyero yebepa retsika uye rimwe pepa rakatetepa rakakosha kuve rakati twii, uye hutsva hwekugadzira bhokisi remarata mapepa, chena makadhibhokisi uye mamwe mapepa akakosha acharamba ari pakati kusvika kune yakakwirira manhamba. , uye divi rekupa uye kudiwa zvinoenderana nekuvandudzwa kwekudiwa.Nekudaro, kubva pane iripo hurongwa hwekugadzira, isu tinotarisira kuti kudzvanywa kwehuwandu hutsva hwekugadzira huchadzikiswa zvakanyanya muna 2025-26, sekuda kukurumidzira kugadzirisa, indasitiri yese yekugovera uye kudiwa kwedivi inotarisirwa kudzoka kune yakasimba chiyero pamberi. .Pamusoro pezvo, mabhizinesi emapepa anotungamira achapinda munguva yekukohwa, mutengo waro kubva ku "roller coaster" kuenda kune yakatsetseka, ichitungamira iyo diversification + yekubatanidza marongero munguva yekukohwa.Nekuda kwekupokana kuri pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, purofiti yeindasitiri yemapepa muna 2022 yakatambura nekuwedzera kwemitengo yemarasha uye pulp, uye mutengo wezvakagadzirwa wakadonha zvakanyanya muna 2023, uye kukwikwidza kwemutengo kwebepa rekutanga kwakawedzera, zvichikonzera kurasikirwa kwepurofiti yeindasitiri.Matambudziko akatarisana nedivi remutengo weindasitiri anotarisirwa kudzikisira zvakanyanya muna 2024: isu tinotarisira kuti mitengo yepulp irambe ichichinja kusvika pamadhora mazana matanhatu / tani, uye mitengo yemapepa yekurasa irambe ichidzikira, izvo zvinotarisirwa kutsigira kudzoreredza kwakadzikama. maindasitiri emari.Uye zvakare, kuitira kudzikamisa kuderera kwemitengo, akati wandei ekutungamira kuedza kusimudzira kusiyanisa kwechigadzirwa, yepamusoro-yekupedzisira, kune rumwe rutivi, inoshingairira kusimudzira kubatanidzwa kwemasango pulp uye pepa dhizaini, 2023 kusvika 2024, izvo zvakasiyana zvigadzirwa nehuni dzakagadzirwa kumba. pulp yemakambani aya anotarisirwa kupinda munguva yekukohwa, isu tinotarisirwa kuwedzera kambani yekuchengetedza muganho uye kukura kwekukura.
Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-11-2023